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2024-12-14 10:25:43

Today, A-shares fell, and there was a general decline in the two cities. This is also a reaction to yesterday's general increase, but today's intraday decline is large, and the lethality cannot be underestimated. What impact does today's trend have on the market outlook of A-shares? Is the trend broken? Who is the biggest killer of retail investors? Now, let me talk about my own views.Everyone should treat this adjustment correctly. At present, the short-term upward channel of A shares has not been destroyed. We should treat the current decline objectively and don't over-interpret it. Although there are many unfavorable factors facing A shares at present, such as the exhaustion of positive factors, the large increase of its own, the accelerated net outflow of main funds, the inability to effectively enlarge the trading volume, and the securities sector taking the lead in adjustment, we still can't judge that the short-term trend of A shares has changed fundamentally, but can only be regarded as a shocking process, which is what I often say is the process of constantly building a long trap.Second, through the analysis of the above points, we should pay attention to the fact that A shares have entered a downward adjustment process, which can be regarded as a normal adjustment at present. The trend is still there, but the magnitude will be relatively large, which will make the retail investors suffer from the artificial intelligence sector.


In the morning, the net outflow of A-share main funds was 48.3 billion yuan, and it reached 66.7 billion yuan at 2 pm, which shows that after 1: 30 pm, many bargain-hunting funds entered.A shares do not have strong support at 3400 points. Today, it oscillated around this position, and deliberately did not fall below it in the morning. After the breakdown in the afternoon, it was pulled again, just to lure more and stifle the bottom-hunting funds. Therefore, next week's A shares are the most tormenting.Second, the volume fell, and the main funds flowed out sharply.


First, everyone should pay attention to the trend of A shares today. This is because:Today's sharp decline is accompanied by an increase in trading volume, which shows that the rising market lacks a receiver, and the falling profit-taking market is eager to sell. In other words, the power to do more is shrinking and the short-selling power is increasing.However, the next adjustment of A-shares is also worrying. This wave of pullback will be relatively large. We will refer to the 8% decline from 3509 on November 8 to 3227 on November 27. The adjustment will not exceed the last time, but it will reach 5%, which is also a drop of nearly 170 points. This is something we should be psychologically prepared for.

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